Category Archives: Daniel Woodburn

Cascading Fragility: From Ukraine to the World

BY DANIEL WOODBURN & EMILY SAMPLE Photo by Alice Kotlyarenko on Unsplash In the wake the Russian invasion in February 2022, Ukraine’s 2023 Fragile States Index (FSI) score has risen from 68.6 to 95.9, skyrocketing the country’s ranking from the 92nd most fragile to 18th, claiming the unenviable title of “Most Worsened” for the year. […]

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Planning for the Unpredictable

BY DANIEL WOODBURN Photo by Donnie on Unsplash As Yogi Berra wisely said, “It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.”[1] Through an international relations lens, it certainly is tough because 1) we do not know when a crisis might strike, and 2) it is surprisingly difficult to know how a country will perform […]

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L’Etat, C’est (Pas) Moi: France’s Mystifying Improvement on the Fragile States Index

BY DANIEL WOODBURN Photo by Antoine Schibler  on Unsplash On its surface France may appear to be a country in turmoil, even decline, rocked by regular protests and an increasingly polarized political landscape.[1] Popular discourse of increasing state authoritarianism and declining public services would seemingly place it in the company of the United States under […]

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“This is the Last Thing We Could Afford”

BY DANIEL WOODBURN AND NATOSHA HODUSKI The shock of the August 2020 Beirut port explosion tearing through the city is indelibly marked in the minds of Lebanese citizens. It resulted in 200 fatalities, 6000 injured, over 300,000 people made homeless, and caused an estimated $15 billion USD in property damages. As shocking as the events […]

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Fragile States Index 2021 – Annual Report

BY NATALIE FIERTZ, NATE HAKEN, PATRICIA TAFT, EMILY SAMPLE, WENDY WILSON, SARAH COCKEY, DANIEL WOODBURN, ANNE-ELÉONORE DELEERSYNDER, ADÈLE DIOP, DANIELLE BATTERMAN, KATELIN REGER, KATHLEEN SMITH, NATOSHA HODUSKI, OLIVIA KRAMER The Fragile States Index, produced by The Fund for Peace, is a critical tool in highlighting not only the normal pressures that all states experience, but […]

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