BY NATE HAKEN, DANIEL WOODBURN, JULIETTE GALLO-CARELLI, ASA COOPER, DYLAN SOUQUET MOGLEN, JIBIKEOLUWA FABORODE, YARED ASFAW, WENDY WILSON, PAUL TURNER, CELESTINE DUVOR, EPAH NYUKECHEN, NIKITA REECE, MELODY WATERWORTH, NATALIE FIERTZ, PATRICIA TAFT, JOHN MADDEN, EMILY SAMPLE, NÁDYA SILVEIRA, ANDY TOMUSIAK, RAPHAEL MILLER The Fragile States Index, produced by The Fund for Peace, is a critical […]
Category Archives: Analysis – 2022
Successful Implementation of the Global Fragility Act: An Evidence-Based Approach
- Tuesday, 12 July 2022 18:20
In Spring 2022, the Biden Administration released the Global Fragility Act’s (GFA) long-awaited four priority countries, Haiti, Libya, Mozambique, and Papua New Guinea, and one region, Coastal West Africa.1 The release of these priority areas is a welcomed and critical step forward to implementing the bipartisan GFA signed into law in December 2019. The GFA is a game-changing law that puts peacebuilding and conflict prevention at the center of U.S. foreign policy, assistance, and security strategy.2 As recommended by AfP from the start, the Fragile States Index (FSI) was critical in this selection process with over seventeen years of evidence-based quantifiable data. The FSI will also be essential in monitoring the success and failure of the GFA strategies and, more importantly, understanding the causes of conflict and areas to target.
An adaptive commitment: An analysis of Cabo Verde’s Democratic System post Covid-19
- Friday, 08 July 2022 18:21
BY DYLAN SOUQUET MOGLEN Over the past three decades, the small island nation of Cabo Verde has become one of the Africa’s most stable democracies; a status that has endured through electoral transitions, ongoing environmental disasters, and rising regional political instability.[i] However, the COVID-19 pandemic presented an unprecedented challenge to this rising star of democracy, […]
Grassroots Reconciliation: Civil Society’s Critical Role in Libyan Peacebuilding
- Friday, 08 July 2022 18:21
BY ANDY TOMUSIAK AND RAPHAEL MILLER Muammar Gaddafi’s ousting in 2011 ushered in an era of partition and resulted in the creation of a power vacuum in Libya, with a myriad of domestic and foreign armed groups vying for control of Libya’s territory and resources. The resultant surge of internally displaced persons (IDPs), coupled with […]
Rising Stakes of Fragility in West Africa’s Sahel and Lake Chad Basin Regions
- Friday, 08 July 2022 18:21
BY JIBIKEOLUWA FABORODE The current situations of the countries that make up the Sahel and Lake Chad Basin (LCB) regions[1] are crucial for the stability of West Africa since they represent half of the sub-continent[2] and have been battling insecurity for years. Despite years of interventions aimed at addressing the myriad of structural issues facing […]
Breaking the Cycle: Military Coups in West Africa
- Friday, 08 July 2022 18:21
BY JULIETTE GALLO Rising social and economic stresses have eroded public confidence in institutions of democratic governance around the world. In many countries, this has led to an increase in riots and protests. In some countries, this has galvanized populist or autocratic movements. In West and Central Africa, this has translated into a spate of […]
Coming Apart at the Seams: Fragility in a Time of COVID-19
- Friday, 08 July 2022 18:20
BY NATE HAKEN The last two years have challenged many assumptions about what it means to be fragile and what it means to be resilient. Countries that were thought to be strong proved weak. Problems that were thought to be straightforward proved complex. It takes more than financial and human capital to manage and recover […]
Security Pressures, Violence, and Nigeria’s 2023 Elections
- Friday, 08 July 2022 18:20
BY NKASI WODU Nigeria, Africa’s most populous nation, is getting ready for its general elections next year, with two front liners from the two major parties emerging in a defining election. This election will be defining for Nigerians because the candidate sworn in on May 29, 2023, will be taking over the reins of a […]
Brazil: Distrust and Fragmentation
- Friday, 08 July 2022 18:20
BY NATALIE SILVEIRA A steady decline in social and political cohesion in Brazil over the last eight years, as measured by the FSI, has created a situation of increasing precarity. This sharp worsening coincided with a reduction in public confidence in institutions following the 2016 impeachment of former President Dilma Rousseff. As an indication of […]
Haiti: Two Steps Forward – Three Steps Back
- Friday, 08 July 2022 18:20
BY NATALIE SILVEIRA With President Jovenel Moïse’s inauguration in 2017, Haiti became the most improved country on the FSI 2018. With his assassination in 2021, it is now among the most worsened. Haiti is the poorest country in the western hemisphere and has been ranked among the fifteen most fragile countries in the world in […]