Yearly Archives: 2023

Fragile States Index 2023 – Annual Report

BY NATE HAKEN, DANIEL WOODBURN, EMILY SAMPLE, WENDY WILSON, JOHN MADDEN, PAUL TURNER, MIA BAXLEY, BILLY AGWANDA, MELINDA ELLINGTON, AYÇA KIRIŞ, CANDICE GARCIA, ISIDORE NSENGIYUMVA, EDIYE BASSEY, ALEXANDER BERGH, NIALL MOHAN The Fragile States Index, produced by The Fund for Peace, is a critical tool in highlighting not only the normal pressures that all states […]

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Cascading Fragility: From Ukraine to the World

BY DANIEL WOODBURN & EMILY SAMPLE Photo by Alice Kotlyarenko on Unsplash In the wake the Russian invasion in February 2022, Ukraine’s 2023 Fragile States Index (FSI) score has risen from 68.6 to 95.9, skyrocketing the country’s ranking from the 92nd most fragile to 18th, claiming the unenviable title of “Most Worsened” for the year. […]

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Planning for the Unpredictable

BY DANIEL WOODBURN Photo by Donnie on Unsplash As Yogi Berra wisely said, “It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.”[1] Through an international relations lens, it certainly is tough because 1) we do not know when a crisis might strike, and 2) it is surprisingly difficult to know how a country will perform […]

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L’Etat, C’est (Pas) Moi: France’s Mystifying Improvement on the Fragile States Index

BY DANIEL WOODBURN Photo by Antoine Schibler  on Unsplash On its surface France may appear to be a country in turmoil, even decline, rocked by regular protests and an increasingly polarized political landscape.[1] Popular discourse of increasing state authoritarianism and declining public services would seemingly place it in the company of the United States under […]

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State Fragility and the Shadow of Genocide in Nagorno Karabakh and Armenia (the South Caucasus)

BY ALEXIS POSTON Photo by Adam Jones In the early hours of 13 September 2022, Azeri Armed Forces launched a shelling attack against Armenian cities and towns along the Armenian-Azerbaijani borders, largely impacting the towns of Vardenis, Jermuk, Sisian, Goris, and Kapan.[1] Reports following the attacks revealed that Azeri forces were not just targeting Armenian […]

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